Catastrophic mangrove dieback across the Gulf of Carpentaria: the nature of north Australian coastlines by 2050?

Catastrophic mangrove dieback across the Gulf of Carpentaria: the nature of north Australian coastlines by 2050?

Mangroves provide crucial ecosystem services that maintain marine biodiversity, livelihoods and coastal stability as seas rise. While they are superbly adapted to the intertidal zone, in 2015, there was an unprecedented mangrove dieback event stretching 1000 km across the Gulf of Carpentaria. This project will unpack likely causation of this extreme event via analysis of climatic variability, using remote sensing and examining physiological thresholds which have been exceeded during this event. Past and present patterns of regional mangrove extent, growth and health will be correlated with historic, current, and future climate to model the probability of future events, thus informing adaptive coastal management in a warming world.